Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Cheltenham
21.5%
Draw
55.4%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cheltenham
vs
1.90
Swindon
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).