Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Exeter
21.5%
Draw
15.6%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Exeter
vs
0.76
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).