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12 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir
27.5%
Draw
16.1%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

İstanbul Başakşehir

vs
0.95

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
0-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).