Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.1%
Roma
17.6%
Draw
8.3%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Roma
vs
0.53
Pisa
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.9%
1-0
15.4%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.1%
5-0
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).