Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Barnet
12.5%
Draw
4.7%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Barnet
vs
0.57
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.9%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).