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13 Dec 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Vorskla
35.3%
Draw
24.8%
Livyi Bereh

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Vorskla

vs
0.68

Livyi Bereh

Markets

BTTS30.4%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.522.2%
Over 3.58.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.2%
1-0
18.3%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).