Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Cardiff
26.8%
Draw
29.1%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Cardiff
vs
1.24
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).