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DHT: 10CSV

04 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Liverpool
21.9%
Draw
17.5%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.25

Liverpool

vs
1.17

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS62.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
4-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).