Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Ternana
29.8%
Draw
22.3%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Ternana
vs
0.88
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).