Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
La Coruna
21.2%
Draw
9.7%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
La Coruna
vs
0.50
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
10.1%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).