Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Chorley
27.0%
Draw
45.1%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Chorley
vs
1.57
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).