Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
RB Leipzig
15.2%
Draw
8.2%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
RB Leipzig
vs
0.79
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).