Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
York
18.4%
Draw
17.7%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
York
vs
1.38
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.557.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
4-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).