Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Real Madrid
16.5%
Draw
6.9%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Real Madrid
vs
0.51
Alaves
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
1-0
14.1%
3-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.1%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).