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AHT: 11CSV

14 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.1%
Levadeiakos
21.1%
Draw
14.8%
Panionios

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Levadeiakos

vs
0.97

Panionios

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).