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AHT: 00CSV

09 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Doncaster
23.8%
Draw
48.2%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Doncaster

vs
1.50

Stockport

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).