Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Sudtirol
31.4%
Draw
35.7%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Sudtirol
vs
1.15
Pisa
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).