Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Plymouth
23.4%
Draw
29.1%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Plymouth
vs
1.13
Hull
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).