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16 Mar 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.5%
Mallorca
20.0%
Draw
14.5%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Mallorca

vs
0.89

Granada

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).