Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Ebbsfleet
25.2%
Draw
53.4%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Ebbsfleet
vs
1.78
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).