Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Harrogate
28.0%
Draw
38.5%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Harrogate
vs
1.15
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).