Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Ceuta
24.8%
Draw
30.1%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Ceuta
vs
1.22
Andorra
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).