Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Lech Poznań
13.0%
Draw
8.3%
Puszcza Niepołomice
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Lech Poznań
vs
1.03
Puszcza Niepołomice
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
4-0
6.3%
1-1
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
4.1%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).