Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Ayr
28.3%
Draw
26.9%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Ayr
vs
1.21
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).