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AHT: 02CSV

03 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Cove Rangers
30.6%
Draw
37.6%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Cove Rangers

vs
1.17

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).