Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Paris FC
25.2%
Draw
34.3%
Dunkerque
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Paris FC
vs
1.15
Dunkerque
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).