Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Crawley Town
21.5%
Draw
26.7%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Crawley Town
vs
1.20
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
0-0
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).