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28 Nov 2025 · 20:00

Elche

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Getafe
29.6%
Draw
23.1%
Elche

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Getafe

vs
0.80

Elche

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.7%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).