Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Walsall
22.9%
Draw
18.5%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Walsall
vs
0.83
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).