Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Hoffenheim
22.4%
Draw
17.8%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Hoffenheim
vs
1.03
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).