Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Dender
25.0%
Draw
51.1%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Dender
vs
1.68
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).