Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Birmingham
26.6%
Draw
26.3%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Birmingham
vs
1.16
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).