Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
La Coruna
23.8%
Draw
38.2%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
La Coruna
vs
1.53
Castellon
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).