Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Bolton
26.6%
Draw
37.1%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Bolton
vs
1.13
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).