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AHT: 11CSV

05 Nov 2023 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Aris
34.7%
Draw
22.7%
Atromitos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Aris

vs
0.71

Atromitos

Markets

BTTS34.4%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.1%
1-0
16.9%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).