Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Ferrol
36.8%
Draw
35.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Ferrol
vs
0.80
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS26.8%
Over 0.577.2%
Over 1.543.1%
Over 2.518.4%
Over 3.56.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.8%
0-1
18.4%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).