Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Stenhousemuir
29.7%
Draw
31.9%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Stenhousemuir
vs
1.10
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).