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DHT: 10CSV

26 Apr 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Eldense
24.1%
Draw
42.1%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Eldense

vs
1.58

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).