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DHT: 10CSV

02 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Inverness C
33.3%
Draw
45.6%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Inverness C

vs
1.26

Livingston

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
14.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).