Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Southampton
19.0%
Draw
71.8%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Southampton
vs
2.35
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-3
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).