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DHT: 01CSV

26 Aug 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.0%
Kasimpasa
30.5%
Draw
20.5%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Kasimpasa

vs
1.02

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).