Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Gateshead
21.3%
Draw
61.3%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Gateshead
vs
2.19
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).