Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Alcorcon
25.0%
Draw
52.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Alcorcon
vs
1.58
Almeria
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).