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27 Oct 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.2%
HamKam
18.1%
Draw
13.7%
Kristiansund

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

HamKam

vs
0.92

Kristiansund

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).