Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.9%
Marseille
9.4%
Draw
7.7%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.82
Marseille
vs
1.24
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.588.0%
Over 3.574.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.3%
4-1
7.0%
3-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-2
4.3%
5-0
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
5-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).