Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Vallecano
29.6%
Draw
26.5%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Vallecano
vs
0.92
Girona
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).