Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Oviedo
26.8%
Draw
19.5%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Oviedo
vs
0.74
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).