Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Santa Clara
28.2%
Draw
23.7%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Santa Clara
vs
0.78
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).