Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Toulouse
23.9%
Draw
36.5%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Toulouse
vs
1.37
Lyon
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).