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09 Aug 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Westerlo
27.1%
Draw
35.4%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Westerlo

vs
1.29

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).